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03/28/2011

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Evil Andy

The problem with using a purely distance based model for HRs is that it neglects other atmospheric factors. SD is close to sea level and extremely dry. Being "low" means that there is more atmosphere above you, making everything - including a baseball, heavier. Water is, as well, lighter than air (H2O has a molecular weight of 18, N2 has a molecular weight of 28); so extremely low humidity also raises the weight of the air, again making the ball (and everything else) weigh more. (Yes. You weigh more in Death Valley than you do in Macchu Pichu.) Both of those factors make the ball travel less far than they might in other places. In Chicago, I don't think the elevation is that great, but, in Summer I suspect that the humidity is normally substantially greater than SD. So there may have been a few more HRs that got hit off him in Chicago that would have stayed in in SD.

Evil Andy

That being said, I would be reluctant to ever trade a decent pitcher if I were Chicago. They should be drafting as many young arms as possible and keeping those that can throw an effective 2 seamer to get an elevated GB%. Cellular is a bandbox, more even than CBP. They've gotta factor that in.

JJ -- White Sox Beerleaguer

Good point, Andy, on the atmospheric differences. That's just another factor--like division and league--that can't be taken into account by the spray chart. Maybe Richard's HR total pushes above 20 at the Cell with all other factors considered, but that would be more of an educated guess at this point.

And the Sox have shown a willingness to trade away young talent with reckless abandon in the last few years, pitching included. It sounds like a good idea to stockpile pitching, but then again the Sox have had quite a few above-average rotations in the last few years.

Mark Huntley

Your offensive comparison of the NL offenses and the AL offenses in their respected divisions forgets to take into account the AL's DH. These leagues are offensively fairly similiar with that adjustment. Being a San Diego fan and looking back on the trade I think San Diego got the better end of the deal but hope for Peavy's sake he gets back to his original form and puts up some great numbers for Chicago, he's fun to watch when he is on! Wishing the White Sox the Best

Bob M.

As a White Sox fan, i'll admit I was in favor of trading for Peavy at the time because I believed the deal would make the Sox strong Series contenders for 2010. With the rash of injuries and peavy's gigantic contract through 2013, I realize that the trade was ill-advised and another haphazard deadline move by Ken Williams. It seems like every year he plays that game of unloading prospects for vets, and it works out maybe 25% of the time.

Good reference to WAR. I am a big believer in that stat. That stat is why I wanted the Sox to re-sign Konerko and let AJ walk to have more $ to go after Victor Martinez. A shame the Sox didn't go that route. Oh well... At least they have 1 recent ring, i shouldn't complain.

JJ -- White Sox Beerleaguer

I'm actually glad the Sox didn't throw money at Martinez...he's not long for the catcher position and when he moves to 1B/DH, Adam Dunn will look like the much better signing.

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